Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 15 daysLiquidity: $88.4K24h Vol: $815.4K

2.1¢

YES

97.9¢

99.9¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$15.5K@ 100¢·Trustinghorse

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

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Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

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$15.5K

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← now

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

NO$15.5K@ 99.9¢

Trustinghorse0x92a6…8b84

🐋-2.1%13 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d

No smart wallet activity