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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 28 daysLiquidity: $179.9K24h Vol: $1.8M
8.6¢
YES
91.3¢
NO
87.5¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$35.3K@ 94¢·nickbrat

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$14.8K
90¢
$79.2K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$20.0K@ 94.8¢0xe792…ffe4🐋-3.7%18 days ago
NO$35.3K@ 94.0¢
nickbrat0x49b3…6486
🐋-2.8%18 days ago
NO$12.4K@ 91.5¢0x990a…81d8🐋-0.1%22 days ago
NO$11.6K@ 94.9¢0x990a…81d8🐋-3.8%24 days ago
NO$14.8K@ 96.0¢0xcb38…eb04🐋-4.8%28 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity