tourists
0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f
$-68887
Real PnL
-27.0%
ROI
$109.5K
Volume
$255.3K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
9
Trades (DB)
14/21
Markets Won
whale33Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:12 markets·current value $296.2K·15 closed
PnL by Market (27)12 open15 closed
$-79978
● open No · $174.5Kin $110.1Kout $26.2Kunreal +$3.8K
● open No · $90.2Kin $67.4Kout $10.2Kunreal +$3.2K
$-20098
● open No · $21.9Kin $21.0Kunreal +$899
● open Yes · $155in $21.0Kout $34.6Kunreal $-645
● open Yes · $3.3Kin $7.2Kunreal $-3835
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
● open No · $13out $3.3Kunreal $-1
● open Yes · $5.3Kin $4.8Kout $2.4Kunreal +$521
● open No · $580in $536unreal +$43
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
● open Yes · $13in $170unreal $-157
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
● open Yes · $15out $4unreal $-101
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
● open Yes · $66in $57unreal +$8
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
● open Yes · $198in $2.2Kout $2.2Kunreal +$15
● closedout $35.1K
● closedout $24.7K
● closedout $15.1K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
● closedout $5.4K
● closedin $8.3Kout $5.5K
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
● closedout $2.0K
● closedin $1.6Kout $3.3K
● closedout $809
+$520
● closedin $4.7Kout $5.2K
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
● closedout $244
● closedin $453out $628
● closedin $5.0Kout $4.8K
Will Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand?
● closedout $70
● closedin $919out $859
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $174.5K | $110.1K | $26.2K | +$3.8K | 27 | $-79978 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $90.2K | $67.4K | $10.2K | +$3.2K | 12 | $-54004 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? ●open No· $21.9K | $21.0K | $0 | +$899 | 17 | $-20098 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open Yes· $155 | $21.0K | $34.6K | $-645 | 13 | +$13.0K |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? ●open Yes· $3.3K | $7.2K | $0 | $-3835 | 46 | $-10988 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ●open No· $13 | $0 | $3.3K | $-1 | 190 | +$3.3K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ●open Yes· $5.3K | $4.8K | $2.4K | +$521 | 6 | $-1935 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ●open No· $580 | $536 | $0 | +$43 | 2 | $-493 |
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $13 | $170 | $0 | $-157 | 1 | $-327 |
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31? ●open Yes· $15 | $0 | $4 | $-101 | 10 | $-97 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? ●open Yes· $66 | $57 | $0 | +$8 | 1 | $-49 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? ●open Yes· $198 | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$15 | 31 | +$13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $35.1K | — | 3 | +$35.1K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ● closed | $0 | $24.7K | — | 1 | +$24.7K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $15.1K | — | 12 | +$15.1K |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? ● closed | $0 | $5.4K | — | 30 | +$5.4K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ● closed | $8.3K | $5.5K | — | 22 | $-2734 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $2.0K | — | 4 | +$2.0K |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ● closed | $1.6K | $3.3K | — | 15 | +$1.6K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $809 | — | 1 | +$809 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ● closed | $4.7K | $5.2K | — | 21 | +$520 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? ● closed | $0 | $244 | — | 2 | +$244 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ● closed | $453 | $628 | — | 2 | +$175 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ● closed | $5.0K | $4.8K | — | 14 | $-161 |
Will Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand? ● closed | $0 | $70 | — | 0 | +$70 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $919 | $859 | — | 4 | $-60 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (9)
Trading Activity · 90d
6 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$236.0K58%7/12
Politics
$16.8K50%1/2
Entry Timing Before Resolution
>7d
9 betsunresolved0/0
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