Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics→Closes: 5 monthsLiquidity: $116.7K24h Vol: $4.8M

35.5¢

YES

64.5¢

23.0¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$20.6K@ 36¢·0xa084…90d9

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

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Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

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← now

$20.6K

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VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

YES$20.6K@ 36.4¢0xa084…90d9🐋-2.5%3 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d

No smart wallet activity