iridescentibex
0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac
$-1308
Real PnL
-3.8%
ROI
$209
Volume
$34.4K
Invested
100.0%
YES Bias
2
Trades (DB)
39/54
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:42 markets·current value $10.5K·55 closed
PnL by Market (97)42 open55 closed
● open Yes · $717in $3.0Kout $4.6Kunreal +$75
● open No · $1.0Kin $1.0Kunreal $-6
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
● open No · $805in $817unreal $-11
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $827in $754out $58unreal +$32
● open Yes · $794in $4.0Kout $3.4Kunreal +$75
● open Yes · $403in $1.3Kout $866unreal $-21
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
● open Yes · $101in $22unreal $-334
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $300in $322unreal $-22
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $215in $239unreal $-24
● open Yes · $239in $500out $256unreal $-6
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
● open Yes · $1.2Kin $564out $767unreal +$36
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $220in $186unreal $-9
● open Yes · $60in $124unreal $-69
● open Yes · $61in $122unreal $-61
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
● open Yes · $180in $264out $85unreal $-2
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
● open Yes · $7out $27unreal $-198
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
● open Yes · $892in $3unreal $-140
● open Yes · $53in $43unreal $-93
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
● open Yes · $59in $69unreal $-49
● open Yes · $367in $184unreal +$84
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
● open Yes · $343in $3out $0unreal +$101
● open Yes · $54in $60unreal $-6
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
● open No · $72in $61unreal $-4
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
● open Yes · $39in $53out $19unreal $-14
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
● open Yes · $24in $32unreal $-8
US military draft authorized in 2026?
● open Yes · $110in $31out $39unreal +$27
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
● open Yes · $474out $4unreal $-33
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
● open Yes · $7in $13unreal $-14
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
● open Yes · $22in $24unreal $-2
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
● open Yes · $230in $13unreal +$37
● open No · $0in $11unreal $-11
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
● open Yes · $97in $0unreal $-20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
● open Yes · $23in $52out $37unreal $-4
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
● open Yes · $31out $35unreal $-21
● open Yes · $100in $45unreal +$55
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
● open Yes · $61in $6unreal $-0
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
● open Yes · $63out $1unreal $-6
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
● open Yes · $104out $0unreal $-2
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
● open Yes · $27out $0unreal $-2
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
● open Yes · $19in $5unreal +$5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
● open Yes · $1in $966out $976unreal $-9
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
● open Yes · $7in $1unreal +$1
● closedin $1.2Kout $2.4K
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
● closedin $124out $936
Iran leadership change by December 31?
● closedout $334
● closedout $322
● closedin $207out $393
● closedout $122
● closedin $107out $217
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
● closedin $107
● closedin $356out $421
Joe Kent charged by April 30?
● closedin $46
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
● closedin $107out $149
● closedin $105out $146
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?
● closedout $41
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
● closedin $43out $83
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
● closedin $110out $71
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● closedout $35
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
● closedout $27
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
● closedin $26
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
● closedout $25
● closedin $11.4Kout $11.4K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
● closedin $20
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?
● closedin $20
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?
● closedin $20
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
● closedin $20
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
● closedin $18
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?
● closedin $18
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?
● closedout $16
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
● closedin $15
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $312out $301
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
● closedout $8
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
● closedout $4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $1.0Kout $1.0K
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $298out $300
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $775out $777
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
● closedin $127out $129
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
● closedout $1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
● closedin $141out $143
● closedin $112out $111
● closedin $370out $371
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
● closedin $73out $73
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $5out $5
● closedin $1.2Kout $1.2K
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)
● closed
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
● closed
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
● closed
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
● closed
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 18, 2026?
● closed
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
● closed
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
● closed
● closedin $422out $422
● closedin $538out $538
● closedin $12out $12
● closedin $50out $50
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open Yes· $717 | $3.0K | $4.6K | +$75 | 73 | +$1.7K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? ●open No· $1.0K | $1.0K | $0 | $-6 | 2 | $-1049 |
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026? ●open No· $805 | $817 | $0 | $-11 | 1 | $-828 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $827 | $754 | $58 | +$32 | 18 | $-665 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open Yes· $794 | $4.0K | $3.4K | +$75 | 34 | $-530 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ●open Yes· $403 | $1.3K | $866 | $-21 | 50 | $-434 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? ●open Yes· $101 | $22 | $0 | $-334 | 1 | $-356 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $300 | $322 | $0 | $-22 | 2 | $-344 |
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $215 | $239 | $0 | $-24 | 1 | $-262 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ●open Yes· $239 | $500 | $256 | $-6 | 19 | $-250 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? ●open Yes· $1.2K | $564 | $767 | +$36 | 4 | +$239 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $220 | $186 | $0 | $-9 | 3 | $-195 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? ●open Yes· $60 | $124 | $0 | $-69 | 3 | $-193 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? ●open Yes· $61 | $122 | $0 | $-61 | 1 | $-183 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? ●open Yes· $180 | $264 | $85 | $-2 | 7 | $-181 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31? ●open Yes· $7 | $0 | $27 | $-198 | 12 | $-171 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? ●open Yes· $892 | $3 | $0 | $-140 | 1 | $-143 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? ●open Yes· $53 | $43 | $0 | $-93 | 2 | $-136 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $59 | $69 | $0 | $-49 | 3 | $-118 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? ●open Yes· $367 | $184 | $0 | +$84 | 1 | $-100 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026? ●open Yes· $343 | $3 | $0 | +$101 | 4 | +$98 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ●open Yes· $54 | $60 | $0 | $-6 | 2 | $-66 |
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open No· $72 | $61 | $0 | $-4 | 1 | $-65 |
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30? ●open Yes· $39 | $53 | $19 | $-14 | 2 | $-48 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? ●open Yes· $24 | $32 | $0 | $-8 | 1 | $-40 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? ●open Yes· $110 | $31 | $39 | +$27 | 11 | +$35 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? ●open Yes· $474 | $0 | $4 | $-33 | 2 | $-29 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $7 | $13 | $0 | $-14 | 1 | $-27 |
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? ●open Yes· $22 | $24 | $0 | $-2 | 1 | $-26 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? ●open Yes· $230 | $13 | $0 | +$37 | 4 | +$24 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $11 | $0 | $-11 | 1 | $-23 |
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $97 | $0 | $0 | $-20 | 1 | $-20 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? ●open Yes· $23 | $52 | $37 | $-4 | 9 | $-19 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? ●open Yes· $31 | $0 | $35 | $-21 | 6 | +$14 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ●open Yes· $100 | $45 | $0 | +$55 | 3 | +$10 |
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? ●open Yes· $61 | $6 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-6 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? ●open Yes· $63 | $0 | $1 | $-6 | 2 | $-5 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? ●open Yes· $104 | $0 | $0 | $-2 | 1 | $-2 |
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ●open Yes· $27 | $0 | $0 | $-2 | 1 | $-2 |
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? ●open Yes· $19 | $5 | $0 | +$5 | 2 | +$1 |
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? ●open Yes· $1 | $966 | $976 | $-9 | 2 | +$1 |
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ●open Yes· $7 | $1 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | +$0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ● closed | $1.2K | $2.4K | — | 11 | +$1.2K |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? ● closed | $124 | $936 | — | 7 | +$812 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $334 | — | 1 | +$334 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $322 | — | 3 | +$322 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? ● closed | $207 | $393 | — | 26 | +$186 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $122 | — | 1 | +$122 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $107 | $217 | — | 8 | +$110 |
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? ● closed | $107 | $0 | — | 1 | $-107 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $356 | $421 | — | 15 | +$65 |
Joe Kent charged by April 30? ● closed | $46 | $0 | — | 1 | $-46 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? ● closed | $107 | $149 | — | 5 | +$41 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $105 | $146 | — | 3 | +$41 |
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? ● closed | $0 | $41 | — | 1 | +$41 |
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? ● closed | $43 | $83 | — | 2 | +$39 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? ● closed | $110 | $71 | — | 5 | $-38 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ● closed | $0 | $35 | — | 1 | +$35 |
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? ● closed | $0 | $27 | — | 5 | +$27 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? ● closed | $26 | $0 | — | 3 | $-26 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $25 | — | 4 | +$25 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $11.4K | $11.4K | — | 1 | +$23 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 1 | $-20 |
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April? ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 1 | $-20 |
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April? ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 1 | $-20 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April? ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 1 | $-20 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? ● closed | $18 | $0 | — | 1 | $-18 |
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April? ● closed | $18 | $0 | — | 1 | $-18 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $16 | — | 1 | +$16 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? ● closed | $15 | $0 | — | 1 | $-15 |
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $312 | $301 | — | 3 | $-11 |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $8 | — | 1 | +$8 |
US strike on Cuba by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $4 | — | 1 | +$4 |
Will France strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $1.0K | $1.0K | — | 1 | +$4 |
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $298 | $300 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $775 | $777 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? ● closed | $127 | $129 | — | 3 | +$2 |
Will Iran strike Turkey in March? ● closed | $0 | $1 | — | 2 | +$1 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? ● closed | $141 | $143 | — | 5 | +$1 |
| Will Iran strike Syria in March? ● closed | $112 | $111 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? ● closed | $370 | $371 | — | 3 | +$0 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? ● closed | $73 | $73 | — | 6 | +$0 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $5 | $5 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ● closed | $1.2K | $1.2K | — | 2 | +$0 |
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29) ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 18, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ● closed | $422 | $422 | — | 10 | +$0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? ● closed | $538 | $538 | — | 6 | +$0 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ● closed | $12 | $12 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $50 | $50 | — | 4 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
8 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
11 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
18 betsunresolved0/0
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