Tenebrus7
0xa8c63f775ddbbe66b56614191747def3021444e8
$-9580
Real PnL
-20.2%
ROI
$28.5K
Volume
$47.5K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
4
Trades (DB)
19/26
Markets Won
whale25Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:28 markets·current value $93.2K·22 closed
PnL by Market (50)28 open22 closed
● open No · $28.5Kin $11.6Kout $1.2Kunreal +$2.1K
● open No · $2.1Kin $1.9Kout $10.0Kunreal +$75
● open Yes · $5.4Kin $1.1Kout $620unreal $-2357
● open No · $1.9Kin $1.9K
● open Yes · $3.0Kin $1.5Kout $250unreal $-510
● open No · $2.5Kin $1.7Kunreal $-15
● open Yes · $1.6Kin $1.6Kunreal +$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
● open No · $2.6Kin $1.7Kunreal +$171
● open Yes · $1.3Kin $1.4Kunreal $-100
● open Yes · $4.8Kin $1.4Kunreal +$14
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
● open No · $1.9Kout $1.2Kunreal +$84
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
● open No · $3.4Kin $1.3Kunreal +$40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
● open Yes · $1.5Kin $620unreal $-616
● open No · $5.1Kin $937unreal $-172
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
● open Yes · $3.0Kin $610unreal $-481
● open No · $3.1Kin $2.2Kout $1.1Kunreal +$56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
● open No · $2.6Kin $1.1Kunreal +$39
● open No · $2.2Kin $1.5Kout $1.1Kunreal $-335
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
● open No · $1.4Kout $458unreal +$179
● open No · $3.2Kin $76unreal $-494
● open Yes · $1.1Kin $527unreal +$1
● open No · $1.8Kin $700unreal +$194
● open No · $3.4Kin $3.1Kout $5.0Kunreal $-1452
● open Yes · $356in $760out $1.0Kunreal $-531
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
● open No · $2.4Kout $26unreal +$156
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
● open Yes · $132in $131unreal +$1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
● open No · $2.4Kin $151unreal +$255
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
● open No · $371in $345out $262unreal +$36
● closedin $1.6Kout $6.0K
● closedout $3.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
● closedout $1.7K
SBF released from custody in 2026?
● closedout $1.3K
● closedin $1.2K
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?
● closedin $13out $1.0K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
● closedout $975
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
● closedout $844
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
● closedin $785
● closedin $2.7Kout $3.2K
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
● closedout $465
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
● closedin $367
● closedin $530out $233
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
● closedout $286
● closedin $194
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
● closedin $130
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?
● closedin $75
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
● closedout $58
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
● closedin $6
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
● closedout $4
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?
● closedin $4
● closedout $2
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $28.5K | $11.6K | $1.2K | +$2.1K | 22 | $-8291 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ●open No· $2.1K | $1.9K | $10.0K | +$75 | 13 | +$8.2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open Yes· $5.4K | $1.1K | $620 | $-2357 | 21 | $-2832 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ●open No· $1.9K | $1.9K | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-1935 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ●open Yes· $3.0K | $1.5K | $250 | $-510 | 12 | $-1763 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ●open No· $2.5K | $1.7K | $0 | $-15 | 1 | $-1695 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open Yes· $1.6K | $1.6K | $0 | +$50 | 35 | $-1550 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? ●open No· $2.6K | $1.7K | $0 | +$171 | 8 | $-1529 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open Yes· $1.3K | $1.4K | $0 | $-100 | 19 | $-1500 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? ●open Yes· $4.8K | $1.4K | $0 | +$14 | 4 | $-1409 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ●open No· $1.9K | $0 | $1.2K | +$84 | 1 | +$1.3K |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? ●open No· $3.4K | $1.3K | $0 | +$40 | 1 | $-1250 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? ●open Yes· $1.5K | $620 | $0 | $-616 | 3 | $-1236 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ●open No· $5.1K | $937 | $0 | $-172 | 2 | $-1108 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? ●open Yes· $3.0K | $610 | $0 | $-481 | 1 | $-1091 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open No· $3.1K | $2.2K | $1.1K | +$56 | 13 | $-1088 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? ●open No· $2.6K | $1.1K | $0 | +$39 | 1 | $-1071 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ●open No· $2.2K | $1.5K | $1.1K | $-335 | 59 | $-754 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? ●open No· $1.4K | $0 | $458 | +$179 | 1 | +$637 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? ●open No· $3.2K | $76 | $0 | $-494 | 1 | $-571 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open Yes· $1.1K | $527 | $0 | +$1 | 78 | $-527 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? ●open No· $1.8K | $700 | $0 | +$194 | 1 | $-506 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ●open No· $3.4K | $3.1K | $5.0K | $-1452 | 23 | +$394 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ●open Yes· $356 | $760 | $1.0K | $-531 | 1 | $-291 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? ●open No· $2.4K | $0 | $26 | +$156 | 1 | +$182 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open Yes· $132 | $131 | $0 | +$1 | 21 | $-130 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? ●open No· $2.4K | $151 | $0 | +$255 | 9 | +$104 |
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? ●open No· $371 | $345 | $262 | +$36 | 6 | $-47 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? ● closed | $1.6K | $6.0K | — | 31 | +$4.4K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ● closed | $0 | $3.3K | — | 3 | +$3.3K |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $1.7K | — | 1 | +$1.7K |
SBF released from custody in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $1.3K | — | 1 | +$1.3K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ● closed | $1.2K | $0 | — | 2 | $-1191 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? ● closed | $13 | $1.0K | — | 4 | +$987 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? ● closed | $0 | $975 | — | 4 | +$975 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $844 | — | 5 | +$844 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? ● closed | $785 | $0 | — | 3 | $-785 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? ● closed | $2.7K | $3.2K | — | 14 | +$477 |
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $465 | — | 1 | +$465 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? ● closed | $367 | $0 | — | 7 | $-367 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ● closed | $530 | $233 | — | 7 | $-297 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? ● closed | $0 | $286 | — | 3 | +$286 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ● closed | $194 | $0 | — | 1 | $-194 |
Will Trump visit China by June 30? ● closed | $130 | $0 | — | 26 | $-130 |
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March? ● closed | $75 | $0 | — | 1 | $-75 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $58 | — | 4 | +$58 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? ● closed | $6 | $0 | — | 1 | $-6 |
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026? ● closed | $0 | $4 | — | 1 | +$4 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30? ● closed | $4 | $0 | — | 2 | $-4 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? ● closed | $0 | $2 | — | 2 | +$2 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
10 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
15 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
11 betsunresolved0/0
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