PnL by Market (32)6 open26 closed
● open No · $134.0Kin $124.1Kunreal +$6.7K
● open No · $160.1Kin $48.1Kunreal +$18.1K
● open No · $9.1Kin $8.8Kunreal +$281
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● open Yes · $2.1Kout $1.0Kunreal $-4160
● open No · $3.4Kin $3.2Kunreal +$138
Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw?
● open Yes · $930in $511unreal +$419
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
● closedout $95.0K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
● closedout $4.5K
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-03-13?
● closedin $47.2Kout $47.9K
● closedin $5.3Kout $5.7K
● closedin $74.6Kout $75.0K
● closedin $43.2Kout $43.6K
● closedin $130.0Kout $130.3K
Will FK Polissia vs. FK Karpaty Lviv end in a draw?
● closedin $6.6Kout $6.7K
● closedin $7.0Kout $7.1K
Will "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?
● closedin $23.3Kout $23.3K
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
● closedin $1.3Kout $1.3K
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
● closedin $488out $447
Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
● closedin $1.8Kout $1.8K
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
● closedin $7.8Kout $7.8K
● closedin $819out $840
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
● closedin $8
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 11 be between 80 and 90?
● closedin $2.4Kout $2.4K
● closedin $6
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
● closedin $4.6Kout $4.6K
Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
● closedin $807out $812
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
● closedout $5
Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
● closedin $1.3Kout $1.3K
Will "Man I Need" by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?
● closedin $1.3Kout $1.3K
● closed
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closed
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $134.0K | $124.1K | $0 | +$6.7K | 6 | $-117374 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $160.1K | $48.1K | $0 | +$18.1K | 136 | $-30095 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $9.1K | $8.8K | $0 | +$281 | 2 | $-8493 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ●open Yes· $2.1K | $0 | $1.0K | $-4160 | 14 | $-3119 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $3.4K | $3.2K | $0 | +$138 | 9 | $-3092 |
Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw? ●open Yes· $930 | $511 | $0 | +$419 | 1 | $-91 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $95.0K | — | 2 | +$95.0K |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $4.5K | — | 1 | +$4.5K |
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-03-13? ● closed | $47.2K | $47.9K | — | 18 | +$688 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? ● closed | $5.3K | $5.7K | — | 20 | +$438 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $95 by March 20? ● closed | $74.6K | $75.0K | — | 18 | +$334 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ● closed | $43.2K | $43.6K | — | 86 | +$331 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $130.0K | $130.3K | — | 1 | +$261 |
Will FK Polissia vs. FK Karpaty Lviv end in a draw? ● closed | $6.6K | $6.7K | — | 5 | +$102 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ● closed | $7.0K | $7.1K | — | 9 | +$71 |
Will "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21? ● closed | $23.3K | $23.3K | — | 34 | +$70 |
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? ● closed | $1.3K | $1.3K | — | 1 | +$47 |
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? ● closed | $488 | $447 | — | 97 | $-41 |
Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? ● closed | $1.8K | $1.8K | — | 3 | +$34 |
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? ● closed | $7.8K | $7.8K | — | 2 | +$23 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? ● closed | $819 | $840 | — | 2 | +$21 |
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5) ● closed | $8 | $0 | — | 2 | $-8 |
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 11 be between 80 and 90? ● closed | $2.4K | $2.4K | — | 1 | +$7 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? ● closed | $6 | $0 | — | 1 | $-6 |
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? ● closed | $4.6K | $4.6K | — | 2 | $-6 |
Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? ● closed | $807 | $812 | — | 1 | +$5 |
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? ● closed | $0 | $5 | — | 0 | +$5 |
Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election? ● closed | $1.3K | $1.3K | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will "Man I Need" by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21? ● closed | $1.3K | $1.3K | — | 1 | +$1 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (6)
Trading Activity · 90d
3 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$235.3K100%3/3
Politics
$5.3K100%1/1
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
2 betsunresolved0/0
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