PnL by Market (48)22 open26 closed
● open Yes · $15.7Kin $25.8Kout $13.9Kunreal +$2.8K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
● open Yes · $2.1Kin $2.2Kunreal $-270
● open Yes · $1.9Kin $2.5Kout $680unreal $-95
● open Yes · $507in $1.0Kunreal $-507
● open Yes · $2.0Kin $1.7Kunreal +$304
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
● open Yes · $0in $443unreal $-443
● open No · $885in $800unreal +$85
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
● open Yes · $10in $315unreal $-305
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?
● open Yes · $19in $299unreal $-279
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
● open Yes · $31in $704out $656unreal $-483
● open Yes · $560in $540unreal +$20
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026?
● open Yes · $0in $220unreal $-220
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
● open Yes · $0in $208unreal $-208
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
● open No · $686in $549unreal +$137
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
● open Yes · $57out $7unreal $-347
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026?
● open Yes · $0in $114unreal $-114
● open Yes · $16in $114unreal $-98
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
● open Yes · $0in $100unreal $-101
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
● open Yes · $0in $99unreal $-102
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?
● open Yes · $0in $100unreal $-100
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
● open Yes · $0in $57unreal $-99
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
● open Yes · $0in $6unreal $-6
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?
● closedin $510out $2.5K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closedin $204out $2.1K
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $716out $2.3K
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $104out $1.4K
● closedin $422out $1.2K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
● closedin $350out $1.1K
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.8K
● closedin $1.0Kout $1.6K
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $330out $800
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
● closedout $363
● closedout $336
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
● closedin $312
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
● closedin $235out $500
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
● closedin $522out $774
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.3K
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
● closedout $240
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
● closedout $214
● closedin $120
● closedin $104
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?
● closedin $100
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.2K
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?
● closedin $80out $100
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
● closedin $209out $220
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
● closedin $6out $17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
● closedin $58out $61
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open Yes· $15.7K | $25.8K | $13.9K | +$2.8K | 86 | $-9054 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? ●open Yes· $2.1K | $2.2K | $0 | $-270 | 3 | $-2470 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open Yes· $1.9K | $2.5K | $680 | $-95 | 12 | $-1955 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open Yes· $507 | $1.0K | $0 | $-507 | 1 | $-1521 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ●open Yes· $2.0K | $1.7K | $0 | +$304 | 3 | $-1360 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026? ●open Yes· $0 | $443 | $0 | $-443 | 2 | $-886 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ●open No· $885 | $800 | $0 | +$85 | 2 | $-715 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? ●open Yes· $10 | $315 | $0 | $-305 | 4 | $-620 |
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March? ●open Yes· $19 | $299 | $0 | $-279 | 4 | $-578 |
US strike on Cuba by March 31? ●open Yes· $31 | $704 | $656 | $-483 | 20 | $-531 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ●open Yes· $560 | $540 | $0 | +$20 | 2 | $-520 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026? ●open Yes· $0 | $220 | $0 | $-220 | 6 | $-440 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 7? ●open Yes· $0 | $208 | $0 | $-208 | 18 | $-416 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $686 | $549 | $0 | +$137 | 9 | $-412 |
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? ●open Yes· $57 | $0 | $7 | $-347 | 12 | $-340 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026? ●open Yes· $0 | $114 | $0 | $-114 | 2 | $-228 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $16 | $114 | $0 | $-98 | 4 | $-212 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? ●open Yes· $0 | $100 | $0 | $-101 | 4 | $-201 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? ●open Yes· $0 | $99 | $0 | $-102 | 7 | $-201 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)? ●open Yes· $0 | $100 | $0 | $-100 | 15 | $-200 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)? ●open Yes· $0 | $57 | $0 | $-99 | 8 | $-157 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? ●open Yes· $0 | $6 | $0 | $-6 | 5 | $-12 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026? ● closed | $510 | $2.5K | — | 18 | +$2.0K |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $204 | $2.1K | — | 11 | +$1.9K |
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $716 | $2.3K | — | 2 | +$1.6K |
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $104 | $1.4K | — | 2 | +$1.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ● closed | $422 | $1.2K | — | 50 | +$758 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? ● closed | $350 | $1.1K | — | 2 | +$745 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.8K | — | 2 | +$648 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ● closed | $1.0K | $1.6K | — | 3 | +$600 |
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $330 | $800 | — | 1 | +$470 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $363 | — | 5 | +$363 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $336 | — | 6 | +$336 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? ● closed | $312 | $0 | — | 8 | $-312 |
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026? ● closed | $235 | $500 | — | 7 | +$265 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28? ● closed | $522 | $774 | — | 4 | +$252 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.3K | — | 13 | +$247 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy ● closed | $0 | $240 | — | 0 | +$240 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei ● closed | $0 | $214 | — | 6 | +$214 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? ● closed | $120 | $0 | — | 11 | $-120 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? ● closed | $104 | $0 | — | 6 | $-104 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026? ● closed | $100 | $0 | — | 1 | $-100 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.2K | — | 20 | +$73 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026? ● closed | $80 | $100 | — | 3 | +$20 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14? ● closed | $209 | $220 | — | 2 | +$11 |
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? ● closed | $6 | $17 | — | 1 | +$11 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ● closed | $58 | $61 | — | 7 | +$2 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (4)
Trading Activity · 90d
2 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$35.0K67%4/6
Politics
$1040%0/1
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
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