PnL by Market (33)13 open20 closed
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
● open Yes · $8.2Kin $8.3Kunreal $-106
● open No · $20.0Kin $366unreal +$7.5K
● open No · $13.2Kin $9.5Kunreal +$3.7K
● open No · $14.3Kin $9.4Kunreal +$4.9K
● open No · $8.4Kin $6.3Kunreal +$2.1K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
● open No · $28.5Kin $8.5Kunreal +$12.6K
● open No · $2.6Kin $2.5Kunreal +$75
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
● open Yes · $14.9Kin $8.6Kunreal +$6.3K
● open No · $91.4Kin $21.0Kunreal +$19.8K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
● open No · $3.1Kin $204unreal +$1.2K
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
● open Yes · $88in $534unreal $-446
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
● open No · $2.0Kout $2unreal +$549
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
● open Yes · $1.4Kin $253unreal $-210
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
● closedout $29.9K
● closedin $14.2Kout $15.8K
● closedin $16.4Kout $17.6K
● closedin $3.4Kout $2.8K
● closedout $513
● closedin $221out $458
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
● closedout $20
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
● closedout $18
● closedin $216out $198
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
● closedin $18
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
● closedin $37out $50
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
● closed
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?
● closed
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
● closed
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?
● closed
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
● closed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
● closed
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
● closed
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
● closed
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? ●open Yes· $8.2K | $8.3K | $0 | $-106 | 11 | $-8376 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ●open No· $20.0K | $366 | $0 | +$7.5K | 4 | +$7.1K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ●open No· $13.2K | $9.5K | $0 | +$3.7K | 16 | $-5794 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? ●open No· $14.3K | $9.4K | $0 | +$4.9K | 150 | $-4574 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? ●open No· $8.4K | $6.3K | $0 | +$2.1K | 27 | $-4185 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ●open No· $28.5K | $8.5K | $0 | +$12.6K | 11 | +$4.0K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ●open No· $2.6K | $2.5K | $0 | +$75 | 12 | $-2425 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ●open Yes· $14.9K | $8.6K | $0 | +$6.3K | 44 | $-2262 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open No· $91.4K | $21.0K | $0 | +$19.8K | 4 | $-1200 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ●open No· $3.1K | $204 | $0 | +$1.2K | 3 | +$988 |
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? ●open Yes· $88 | $534 | $0 | $-446 | 18 | $-980 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? ●open No· $2.0K | $0 | $2 | +$549 | 1 | +$551 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ●open Yes· $1.4K | $253 | $0 | $-210 | 118 | $-463 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $29.9K | — | 0 | +$29.9K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ● closed | $14.2K | $15.8K | — | 2 | +$1.6K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ● closed | $16.4K | $17.6K | — | 2 | +$1.2K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? ● closed | $3.4K | $2.8K | — | 3 | $-665 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? ● closed | $0 | $513 | — | 1 | +$513 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? ● closed | $221 | $458 | — | 15 | +$237 |
Will Iran strike Jordan in March? ● closed | $0 | $20 | — | 0 | +$20 |
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? ● closed | $0 | $18 | — | 6 | +$18 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $216 | $198 | — | 2 | $-18 |
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? ● closed | $18 | $0 | — | 1 | $-18 |
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? ● closed | $37 | $50 | — | 3 | +$14 |
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (1)
Trading Activity · 90d
1 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$70.1K67%2/3
Politics
$221100%1/1
Entry Timing Before Resolution
>7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
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