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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

● quote just now
Culture→Closes: 3 monthsLiquidity: $419.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $124.9KEvent: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1.3¢
YES
98.8¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$21.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 339 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $19.4K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$22.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNO$60.8K@ 98¢·waterwaterwater

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$6
tracked
$21.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: NO · $19.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 339 minutes old.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 40d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL NO@ 98.3¢8d ago
15m STALLED -0.3pp1h STALLED -0.3pp6h STALLED -0.2pp24h STALLED -0.2pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $6
24hNO · $18.6K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.3¢
VWAP 24h1.3¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d1.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$538.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$16.4K@ 98.7¢
DiscoDed0xfc69…166b
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYNO$20.3K@ 98.5¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—4 days ago
BUYNO$13.5K@ 98.2¢
Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39
🐋—14 days ago
SELLNO$60.8K@ 98.0¢
waterwaterwater0x7f42…36ff
🐋—14 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

033033033No$20.3K
BUY VWAP 98.5¢·1 fill
DiscoDedNo$16.4K
BUY VWAP 98.7¢·1 fill
VarilNo$10.1K
BUY VWAP 98.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.