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Sopo: Laura Samson vs Elizabeth Mandlik

● quote 407 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $623.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $371.0KEvent: Sopo: Laura Samson vs Elizabeth Mandlik

Indicative prices · 407 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

4.0¢
Laura Samson
99.9¢
Elizabeth Mandlik
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:121 trades$95.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 407 min agoofficial metadata 408 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Laura Samson · $9.4K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$20.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLaura Samson$10.5K@ 12¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$95.4K

7 verified profitable wallets: Laura Samson · $9.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 407 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 407 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 408 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Samson and Elizabeth Mandlik in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Elizabeth Mandlik. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Mandlik' if Elizabeth Mandlik advances against Laura Samson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Laura Samson@ 43.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Laura Samson DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $191 → $236 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Laura Samson; negative values favor Elizabeth Mandlik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLaura Samson · $0
6hLaura Samson · $0
24hLaura Samson · $38.8K

Laura Samson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Laura Samson price. Elizabeth Mandlik fills are converted to the complementary Laura Samson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.0¢
VWAP 24h34.19¢▼ below by 30.2pp
VWAP 7d34.19¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Laura Samson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$17.0K
60¢
$4.9K
55¢
$10.0K
50¢
$439
45¢
$645
40¢
$5.3K
35¢
$8.4K
30¢
$160
25¢
$10.7K
20¢
$7.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$17.1K
5¢
$2.0K
0¢
← now
$11.8K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLaura Samson$10.5K@ 12.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 8 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Samson vs. Mandlik: Match O/U 22.5
—$5.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Laura Samson vs. Elizabeth Mandlik: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$81priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Samson vs. Mandlik: Match O/U 23.5
—$47priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Samson vs. Mandlik: Match O/U 21.5
—$40priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Elizabeth Mandlik (-1.5) vs Laura Samson (+1.5)
—$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Laura Samson vs Elizabeth Mandlik
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
49.5¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina
0.05¢$931.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MastermoneyLaura Samson$19.2K
BUY VWAP 59.04¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Laura Samson$10.5K
BUY VWAP 12.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.