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Monastir: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas

● quote 463 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $109.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $179.6KEvent: Monastir: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Indicative prices · 463 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Pedro Vives Marcos
1.0¢
Alejandro Moro Canas
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$74.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 467 min agoofficial metadata 464 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pedro Vives Marcos · $16.3K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$18.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPedro Vives Marcos$17.5K@ 88¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$74.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pedro Vives Marcos · $16.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 463 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 467 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 464 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Monastir, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pedro Vives Marcos@ 94.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alejandro Moro Canas DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $7.1K → $4.4K · 46s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pedro Vives Marcos; negative values favor Alejandro Moro Canas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPedro Vives Marcos · $0
6hPedro Vives Marcos · $0
24hPedro Vives Marcos · $1.2K

Pedro Vives Marcos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pedro Vives Marcos price. Alejandro Moro Canas fills are converted to the complementary Pedro Vives Marcos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h73.72¢▲ above by 26.2pp
VWAP 7d73.72¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pedro Vives Marcos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.9K
90¢
$4.5K
85¢
$24.7K
80¢
$10.1K
75¢
$1.7K
70¢
$4.7K
65¢
$3.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.4K
40¢
$17.2K
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
$112
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPedro Vives Marcos$17.5K@ 87.6¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pedro Vives Marcos vs. Alejandro Moro Canas: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$431priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Marcos vs. Canas: Match O/U 22.5
—$188priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Marcos vs. Canas: Match O/U 21.5
—$23priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Marcos vs. Canas: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alejandro Moro Canas (-2.5) vs Pedro Vives Marcos (+2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
49.5¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina
0.05¢$931.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LuzzzerAlejandro Moro Canas$19.3K
BUY VWAP 43.59¢·4 fills
WoaifacaiPedro Vives Marcos$17.5K
BUY VWAP 87.6¢·1 fill
redvinnyPedro Vives Marcos$11.3K
BUY VWAP 83.56¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.