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Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Francisco Comesana

● quote 114 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $403.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $298.4KEvent: Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Francisco Comesana

Indicative prices · 114 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Franco Roncadelli
1.0¢
Francisco Comesana
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:74 trades$141.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 117 min agoofficial metadata 110 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Franco Roncadelli · $27.2K net·6 wallets(3🐋)·$94.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFranco Roncadelli$29.5K@ 100¢·0x5fd2…afce

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$27.3K
tracked
$141.8K

6 verified profitable wallets: Franco Roncadelli · $27.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 114 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 117 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 110 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-19 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Roncadelli and Francisco Comesana in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Franco Roncadelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Franco Roncadelli UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $26.7K → $79.2K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Franco Roncadelli; negative values favor Francisco Comesana. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFranco Roncadelli · $0
6hFranco Roncadelli · $27.3K
24hFranco Roncadelli · $25.4K

Franco Roncadelli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Franco Roncadelli price. Francisco Comesana fills are converted to the complementary Franco Roncadelli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h77.32¢▲ above by 22.6pp
VWAP 7d77.32¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Franco Roncadelli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$82.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$14.6K
75¢
$10.0K
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$418
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$793
35¢
$1.3K
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$102
20¢
$3.1K
15¢
$624
10¢
$18.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFranco Roncadelli$29.5K@ 99.9¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFranco Roncadelli$13.6K@ 98.97¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFranco Roncadelli$14.9K@ 97.1¢
xutuu0xe760…19bd
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFranco Roncadelli$10.0K@ 82.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseFranco Roncadelli$28.6K
BUY VWAP 88.11¢·3 fills
xutuuFranco Roncadelli$14.9K
BUY VWAP 97.1¢·1 fill
0x5fd2…afceFranco Roncadelli$12.6K
BUY VWAP 88.46¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.