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Hornets vs. Suns

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $271.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $513.5KEvent: Hornets vs. Suns

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

32.5¢
Hornets
67.5¢
Suns
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly12Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%
24h sample:67 trades$291.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSuns$134.6K@ 67¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Suns pressure: $1.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.0K
6h
−$235.1K
tracked
$291.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Suns or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets".

•If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Hornets and Suns, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1114 linked markets · $274.0K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $7.2K gross
mooseborzoi7 linked markets · $3.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Suns@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Suns@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Suns@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Suns@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hornets; negative values favor Suns. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSuns · $1.0K
6hSuns · $235.1K
24hSuns · $235.7K

Hornets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hornets price. Suns fills are converted to the complementary Hornets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h32.96¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d32.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hornets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$291.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSuns$134.6K@ 67.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHornets$18.6K@ 33.0¢0x758c…5e64🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSuns$115.9K@ 67.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Suns (-6.5)
49.5¢$49.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
54.5¢$20.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
45.5¢$18.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
50.5¢$13.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 6.5
48.0¢$10.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
51.5¢$7.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
48.5¢$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
19.5¢$1.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Suns$254.0K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·3 fills
0x758c…5e64Hornets$20.3K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.