PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

● quote just now
Tech→Finance→Culture→Closes: about 2 yearsLiquidity: $28.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $172.6KEvent: Next CEO of NVIDIA?

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

15.0¢
YES
85.0¢
NO
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$16.8K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $1.5K net·2 wallets·$1.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$2.5K@ 81¢·12313

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$13
6h
−$3.0K
tracked
$16.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: YES · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2029-01-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”. The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
davisb122 linked markets · $9.4K gross
AnEggplant2 linked markets · $2.9K gross
cigarettes2 linked markets · $480 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $13
6hNO · $3.0K
24hNO · $7.2K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.0¢
VWAP 24h28.64¢▼ below by 13.6pp
VWAP 7d28.64¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$4.4K
25¢
$49
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
← now
$5.6K
10¢
$709
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?
4.45¢$239.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
5.5¢$211.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
31.5¢$125.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?
7.0¢$73.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
7.35¢$73.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
8.05¢$14.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
6.5¢$14.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
3.95¢$11.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.