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Magic vs. Kings: O/U 221.5

● quote 13s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $27.1KEvent: Magic vs. Kings

Indicative prices · 13s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Over
48.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection87Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$9.3K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$5.3K@ 47¢·JoeyAroyyOO

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Under SETUP
What the tape says

Under pressure: $8.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.1K
6h
−$9.2K
tracked
$9.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Under · $243 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 69

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Kings combine to score 222 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 222, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Kings, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Kings combine to score 222 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 222, this market will resolve to "Under". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard2 linked markets · $70.4K gross
mooseborzoi6 linked markets · $29.2K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $10.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $8.1K
6hUnder · $9.2K
24hUnder · $9.2K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h53.17¢▼ below by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d53.17¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
← now
$8.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Magic (-6.5)
48.5¢$184.5Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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66.5¢$120.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
45.5¢$23.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
51.5¢$22.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
44.5¢$16.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 222.5
48.5¢$9.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 219.5
—$132priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Kings (-21.5)
—$39priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.