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Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $233.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $104.0KEvent: Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

23.5¢
Elmer Moeller
76.5¢
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:45 trades$26.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $2.0K net·2 wallets·$2.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGenaro Alberto Olivieri$11.8K@ 36¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Elmer Moeller SETUP
What the tape says

Elmer Moeller pressure: $2.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.8K
6h
−$11.7K
tracked
$26.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 60

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elmer Moeller or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Genaro Alberto Olivieri UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $416 → $1.2K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elmer Moeller; negative values favor Genaro Alberto Olivieri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElmer Moeller · $2.8K
6hGenaro Alberto Olivieri · $11.7K
24hGenaro Alberto Olivieri · $11.7K

Elmer Moeller price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elmer Moeller price. Genaro Alberto Olivieri fills are converted to the complementary Elmer Moeller probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current23.5¢
VWAP 24h63.23¢▼ below by 39.7pp
VWAP 7d63.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elmer Moeller price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$3.3K
60¢
$15.4K
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
$77
40¢
$0
35¢
$61
30¢
$499
25¢
$2
20¢
← now
$316
15¢
$23
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGenaro Alberto Olivieri$11.8K@ 35.56¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Moeller vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 21.5
99.5¢$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Moeller vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 23.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Moeller vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 22.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Elmer Moeller (-3.5) vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
16.5¢$577.8Kpriority81Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
52.5¢$575.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
23.5¢$553.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Heat vs. Jazz
77.5¢$442.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooGenaro Alberto Olivieri$11.8K
BUY VWAP 35.56¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.