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Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez

● quote 14s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $464.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $382.2KEvent: Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez

Indicative prices · 14s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Jurij Rodionov
99.95¢
Pedro Martinez
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:169 trades$155.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pedro Martinez · $55.4K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$58.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPedro Martinez$25.0K@ 58¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Jurij Rodionov pressure: $26.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$26.5K
6h
−$45.6K
tracked
$155.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Pedro Martinez · $55.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +58.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 58.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jurij Rodionov or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Pedro Martinez in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Pedro Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Jurij Rodionov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Pedro Martinez38m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Pedro Martinez@ 42.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp
Latest book event: Jurij Rodionov UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $374 → $6.6K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jurij Rodionov; negative values favor Pedro Martinez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJurij Rodionov · $26.5K
6hPedro Martinez · $45.6K
24hPedro Martinez · $45.6K

Jurij Rodionov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jurij Rodionov price. Pedro Martinez fills are converted to the complementary Jurij Rodionov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h35.95¢▼ below by 35.9pp
VWAP 7d36.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jurij Rodionov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
$4
70¢
$10.5K
65¢
$6.5K
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$9.9K
50¢
$16.0K
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$59.1K
35¢
$40
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$4.9K
15¢
$65
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$509
0¢
← now
$37.9K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPedro Martinez$15.8K@ 99.9¢0xe1c0…ecf1🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYPedro Martinez$25.0K@ 58.29¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPedro Martinez$13.3K@ 59.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPedro Martinez$10.0K@ 50.0¢0x9d09…214c🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiPedro Martinez$55.8K
BUY VWAP 58.44¢·5 fills
0x9d09…214cPedro Martinez$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.