Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

● quote 747 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs

Polymarket indicative prices · 13 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.25¢
MOUZ
52.75¢
TheMongolz
—
Spread
anomaly100direction99wallets0execution0priority0data 63%
24h sample:4 trades$1.5K trackedsource coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMOUZ$1.4K@ 100¢·kccckc

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

TheMongolz pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.5K
6h
−$1.5K
tracked
$1.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 747 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from TheMongolz or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. MOUZ's round total on Map 3 exceeds TheMongolz's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TheMongolz".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MOUZ and TheMongolz in the IEM Beijing Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. MOUZ's round total on Map 3 exceeds TheMongolz's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TheMongolz". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 8, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c03 linked markets · $55.5K gross
randomrandomrandom2 linked markets · $48.1K gross
0xf732…bd9f3 linked markets · $33.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hTheMongolz · $1.5K
6hTheMongolz · $1.5K
24hTheMongolz · $1.5K

MOUZ price VWAP

Current47.25¢
VWAP 24h99.53¢▼ below by 52.3pp
VWAP 7d99.53¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$0
40¢
$10
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.