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Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal

Sports→TennisSettlement: Kilian FeldbauschLiquidity: $479.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $202.7KEvent: Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
100.0¢
Kilian Feldbausch payout
0.0¢
Sumit Nagal payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:18 trades$88.8K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1423 min agoofficial metadata 1386 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kilian Feldbausch · $5.6K net·6 wallets·$5.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKilian Feldbausch$24.6K@ 98¢·Vps1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kilian Feldbausch. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-13 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Sumit Nagal in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Kilian Feldbausch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 23h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 23h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $31 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kilian Feldbausch DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $34.4K → $22.1K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kilian Feldbausch; negative values favor Sumit Nagal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKilian Feldbausch · $22.5K
6hKilian Feldbausch · $47.1K
24hKilian Feldbausch · $47.0K

Kilian Feldbausch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kilian Feldbausch price. Sumit Nagal fills are converted to the complementary Kilian Feldbausch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.01¢▲ above by 10.0pp
VWAP 7d90.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kilian Feldbausch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$81.1K
90¢
$297
85¢
$2.1K
80¢
$6.3K
75¢
$1.5K
70¢
$14.1K
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$805
55¢
$143
50¢
$5.5K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$200
35¢
$274
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKilian Feldbausch$23.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYKilian Feldbausch$24.6K@ 97.99¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYKilian Feldbausch$15.3K@ 96.0¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYKilian Feldbausch$11.0K@ 70.97¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Vps1Kilian Feldbausch$39.9K
BUY VWAP 97.22¢·2 fills
kkookkooKilian Feldbausch$17.3K
BUY VWAP 75.22¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.