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Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $65.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $309.6KEvent: Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

67.5¢
Mai Hontama
32.5¢
Magda Linette
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:188 trades$106.3K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mai Hontama · $3.6K net·9 wallets·$27.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMai Hontama$9.2K@ 78¢·redvinny

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Mai Hontama pressure: $15.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.4K
6h
+$585
tracked
$106.3K

9 verified profitable wallets: Mai Hontama · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 53

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mai Hontama or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mai Hontama and Magda Linette in the Chennai Open, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mai Hontama' if Mai Hontama advances against Magda Linette. This market will resolve to 'Magda Linette' if Magda Linette advances against Mai Hontama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbf2b…fb882 linked markets · $242 gross
0x498e…5a662 linked markets · $19 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Magda Linette UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $60 → $1.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mai Hontama; negative values favor Magda Linette. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMai Hontama · $15.4K
6hMai Hontama · $585
24hMai Hontama · $586

Mai Hontama price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mai Hontama price. Magda Linette fills are converted to the complementary Mai Hontama probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.5¢
VWAP 24h63.44¢▲ above by 4.1pp
VWAP 7d63.44¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mai Hontama price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$5.0K
80¢
$13.8K
75¢
$18.5K
70¢
$5.6K
65¢
← now
$211
60¢
$5.0K
55¢
$11.0K
50¢
$15.8K
45¢
$10.4K
40¢
$5
35¢
$1.8K
30¢
$12.7K
25¢
$6.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
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Mai Hontama vs. Magda Linette: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Linette: Match O/U 21.5
99.95¢$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Linette: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Linette: Match O/U 23.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Linette: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Magda Linette (-4.5) vs Mai Hontama (+4.5)
0.45¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.