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Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato

Sports→TennisSettlement: Marco CecchinatoLiquidity: $518.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $355.0KEvent: Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
0.0¢
Thiago Monteiro payout
100.0¢
Marco Cecchinato payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marco Cecchinato · $2.7K net·8 wallets·$5.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThiago Monteiro$16.5K@ 52¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marco Cecchinato. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Marco Cecchinato in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Marco Cecchinato. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Monteiro@ 47.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -41.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Monteiro@ 49.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -39.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Monteiro; negative values favor Marco Cecchinato. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Monteiro · $0
6hThiago Monteiro · $0
24hThiago Monteiro · $36.1K

Thiago Monteiro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Monteiro price. Marco Cecchinato fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Monteiro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h40.19¢▼ below by 40.2pp
VWAP 7d40.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Monteiro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$24.8K
50¢
$43.8K
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$8.8K
35¢
$10.6K
30¢
$20
25¢
$21.3K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$10.6K
5¢
$3.7K
0¢
← now
$5.4K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMarco Cecchinato$10.2K@ 70.85¢0xafef…f50e🐋—1 day ago
BUYThiago Monteiro$16.5K@ 51.54¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—1 day ago
BUYThiago Monteiro$11.2K@ 56.0¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMarco Cecchinato$10.3K@ 45.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—2 days ago
BUYThiago Monteiro$11.6K@ 54.64¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.