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Game Spread: Alexandra Eala (-3.5) vs Tereza Valentova (+3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.5KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala

Polymarket indicative prices · 18s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
Alexandra Eala
51.5¢
Tereza Valentova
—
Spread
anomaly10Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:2 trades$4.8K trackedsource coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexandra Eala$4.8K@ 50¢·wingwingwin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$15
6h
+$4.8K
tracked
$4.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alexandra Eala" if Alexandra Eala wins 3.5 or more total games than Tereza Valentova in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tereza Valentova".

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Alexandra Eala could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tereza Valentova".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alexandra Eala" if Alexandra Eala wins 3.5 or more total games than Tereza Valentova in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tereza Valentova". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Alexandra Eala could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tereza Valentova". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $105 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexandra Eala; negative values favor Tereza Valentova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexandra Eala · $15
6hAlexandra Eala · $4.8K
24hAlexandra Eala · $4.8K

Alexandra Eala price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexandra Eala price. Tereza Valentova fills are converted to the complementary Alexandra Eala probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h50.37¢▼ below by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d50.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexandra Eala price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.8K
45¢
← now
$15
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
46.5¢$264.8Kpriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tereza Valentova vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5
43.0¢$6.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
50.0¢$3.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Alexandra Eala (-1.5) vs Tereza Valentova (+1.5)
22.5¢$634priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
67.0¢$398priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5
54.5¢$26priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 23.5
48.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.