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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $224.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $200.4KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
Tereza Valentova
58.5¢
Alexandra Eala
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection50Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:68 trades$103.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexandra Eala · $58.8K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$58.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexandra Eala$28.0K@ 80¢·999585

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Alexandra Eala SETUP
What the tape says

Alexandra Eala pressure: $51.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$51.6K
6h
−$41.1K
tracked
$103.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Alexandra Eala · $58.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 82

Since latest accumulation: -19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexandra Eala or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Valentova and Alexandra Eala in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Valentova' if Tereza Valentova advances against Alexandra Eala. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Tereza Valentova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $105 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Alexandra Eala@ 78.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexandra Eala@ 75.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tereza Valentova; negative values favor Alexandra Eala. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexandra Eala · $51.6K
6hAlexandra Eala · $41.1K
24hAlexandra Eala · $38.5K

Tereza Valentova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tereza Valentova price. Alexandra Eala fills are converted to the complementary Tereza Valentova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h26.67¢▲ above by 14.8pp
VWAP 7d26.67¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tereza Valentova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$0
35¢
$30.8K
30¢
$6.3K
25¢
$7.1K
20¢
$59.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexandra Eala$15.8K@ 79.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYAlexandra Eala$28.0K@ 80.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYAlexandra Eala$11.1K@ 79.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—19 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Alexandra Eala (-3.5) vs Tereza Valentova (+3.5)
50.0¢$9.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tereza Valentova vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5
35.0¢$6.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
13.0¢$601priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
52.5¢$398priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Alexandra Eala (-1.5) vs Tereza Valentova (+1.5)
58.5¢$234priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5
36.0¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 23.5
55.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

999585Alexandra Eala$54.9K
BUY VWAP 79.51¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.