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Set Handicap: Alexandra Eala (-1.5) vs Tereza Valentova (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $234Event: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala

Polymarket indicative prices · 13 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

58.5¢
Alexandra Eala
41.5¢
Tereza Valentova
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:3 trades$28 trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$2
6h
+$23
tracked
$28

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alexandra Eala" if Alexandra Eala wins by 2 or more sets than Tereza Valentova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tereza Valentova."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alexandra Eala can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tereza Valentova."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Tereza Valentova in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alexandra Eala" if Alexandra Eala wins by 2 or more sets than Tereza Valentova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tereza Valentova." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alexandra Eala can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tereza Valentova." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $105 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexandra Eala; negative values favor Tereza Valentova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTereza Valentova · $2
6hAlexandra Eala · $23
24hAlexandra Eala · $22

Alexandra Eala price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexandra Eala price. Tereza Valentova fills are converted to the complementary Alexandra Eala probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h43.54¢▲ above by 15.0pp
VWAP 7d43.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexandra Eala price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$0
50¢
$2
45¢
$0
40¢
$26
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
22.5¢$200.4Kpriority79Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alexandra Eala (-3.5) vs Tereza Valentova (+3.5)
50.0¢$9.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tereza Valentova vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5
35.0¢$6.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
13.0¢$601priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
52.5¢$398priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5
36.0¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentova vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
38.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.