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Set Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Alexander Zverev (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $594Event: Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Lorenzo Musetti
—
Alexander Zverev.
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:1 trades$2 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 545 min agoofficial metadata 184 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lorenzo Musetti" if Lorenzo Musetti wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Zverev, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alexander Zverev."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lorenzo Musetti can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alexander Zverev."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Zverev in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lorenzo Musetti" if Lorenzo Musetti wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Zverev, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alexander Zverev." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lorenzo Musetti can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alexander Zverev." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1990Apolon2 linked markets · $12.3K gross
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $6.6K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lorenzo Musetti; negative values favor Alexander Zverev.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Musetti · $0
6hLorenzo Musetti · $0
24hLorenzo Musetti · $2

Lorenzo Musetti price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lorenzo Musetti price. Alexander Zverev. fills are converted to the complementary Lorenzo Musetti probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h19.0¢
VWAP 7d19.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lorenzo Musetti price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$2
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
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Game Spread: Alexander Zverev (-3.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+3.5)
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Zverev vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5
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Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Zverev vs. Musetti: Match O/U 23.5
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Zverev vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5
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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.