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Set 2 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti

● quote 154 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $17.3KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti

Indicative prices · 154 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Alexander Zverev
99.9¢
Lorenzo Musetti
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$9.7K trackedsource coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 179 min agoofficial metadata 154 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $398 net·4 wallets·$398 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLorenzo Musetti$6.3K@ 99¢·1990Apolon

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$9.5K
tracked
$9.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $398 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 154 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 179 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Alexander Zverev” if Alexander Zverev wins set 2. It will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alexander Zverev” if Alexander Zverev wins set 2. It will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1990Apolon2 linked markets · $12.3K gross
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $6.6K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $0
6hAlexander Zverev · $9.5K
24hAlexander Zverev · $9.5K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h20.88¢
VWAP 7d20.88¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.5K
55¢
$704
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$30
20¢
$0
15¢
$105
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$6.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.