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Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucia Bronzetti

● quote 21 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $121.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $359.8KEvent: Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucia Bronzetti

Indicative prices · 21 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Leolia Jeanjean
5.0¢
Lucia Bronzetti
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets27Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:168 trades$133.6K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leolia Jeanjean · $9.4K net·12 wallets·$34.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLeolia Jeanjean$9.5K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Lucia Bronzetti pressure: $22.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.3K
6h
−$12.8K
tracked
$133.6K

12 verified profitable wallets: Leolia Jeanjean · $9.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 21 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lucia Bronzetti or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Lucia Bronzetti in the Cali, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Lucia Bronzetti. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Bronzetti' if Lucia Bronzetti advances against Leolia Jeanjean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Leolia Jeanjean DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $12.0K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leolia Jeanjean; negative values favor Lucia Bronzetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLucia Bronzetti · $22.3K
6hLucia Bronzetti · $12.8K
24hLucia Bronzetti · $10.3K

Leolia Jeanjean price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leolia Jeanjean price. Lucia Bronzetti fills are converted to the complementary Leolia Jeanjean probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h65.32¢▲ above by 34.6pp
VWAP 7d65.32¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leolia Jeanjean price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.5K
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$4
80¢
$0
75¢
$18.5K
70¢
$19.2K
65¢
$0
60¢
$8.9K
55¢
$11.0K
50¢
$6.7K
45¢
$6.1K
40¢
$7.5K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$9.0K
25¢
$9.3K
20¢
$5.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$62
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseLeolia Jeanjean$14.9K
BUY VWAP 77.27¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.