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Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Titouan Droguet

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $195.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $547.7KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Titouan Droguet

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Alex Molcan
0.05¢
Titouan Droguet
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:186 trades$197.4K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Titouan Droguet · $13.1K net·10 wallets·$57.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlex Molcan$9.5K@ 53¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alex Molcan pressure: $5.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.6K
6h
+$12.3K
tracked
$197.4K

10 verified profitable wallets: Titouan Droguet · $13.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -48.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alex Molcan or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Titouan Droguet in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Titouan Droguet. This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $112 gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $105 gross
SALADITO2 linked markets · $54 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Titouan Droguet1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Titouan Droguet1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Titouan Droguet@ 49.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Titouan Droguet@ 45.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h INVALIDATED -27.0pp
Latest book event: Titouan Droguet DOWN 5.2pp · near-book depth $10 → $10 · 26s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alex Molcan; negative values favor Titouan Droguet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex Molcan · $5.6K
6hAlex Molcan · $12.3K
24hAlex Molcan · $16.2K

Alex Molcan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alex Molcan price. Titouan Droguet fills are converted to the complementary Alex Molcan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h62.19¢▲ above by 37.8pp
VWAP 7d62.19¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alex Molcan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.0K
90¢
$3.9K
85¢
$17.0K
80¢
$9.0K
75¢
$18.5K
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.3K
60¢
$10.0K
55¢
$56.7K
50¢
$47.4K
45¢
$12.9K
40¢
$131
35¢
$4.3K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cTitouan Droguet$23.5K
BUY VWAP 40.42¢·9 fills
MadridTimeAlex Molcan$12.8K
BUY VWAP 74.54¢·8 fills
VenusianTitouan Droguet$11.8K
BUY VWAP 46.57¢·6 fills
LightParadoxTitouan Droguet$10.9K
BUY VWAP 36.73¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.