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UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $51.3KEvent: UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

34.5¢
Jared Gordon
65.5¢
Melquizael Costa
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection60Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 98%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:88 trades$46.5K trackedsource coverage 90%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Melquizael Costa · $4.2K net·12 wallets·$7.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMelquizael Costa$8.0K@ 90¢·sts22

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Melquizael Costa SETUP
What the tape says

Melquizael Costa pressure: $28.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$28.1K
6h
−$25.7K
tracked
$46.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Melquizael Costa · $4.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 98% · priority 68

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Melquizael Costa or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jared Gordon" if Jared Gordon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Jared Gordon" if Jared Gordon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jared Gordon UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $122 → $242 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jared Gordon; negative values favor Melquizael Costa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMelquizael Costa · $28.1K
6hMelquizael Costa · $25.7K
24hMelquizael Costa · $28.8K

Jared Gordon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jared Gordon price. Melquizael Costa fills are converted to the complementary Jared Gordon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h17.74¢▲ above by 16.8pp
VWAP 7d17.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jared Gordon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$1.1K
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$25.1K
15¢
$118
10¢
$8.6K
5¢
$10.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

sts22Melquizael Costa$11.4K
BUY VWAP 85.89¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.