UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)

● quote 34 min ago

Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $467.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $363.3KEvent: UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)

Indicative prices · 34 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢

Drew Dober

99.9¢

Chris Duncan

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:105 trades$160.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Drew Dober · $1.1K net·13 wallets·$14.9K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLChris Duncan$21.1K@ 100¢·winayouss

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Drew Dober pressure: $36.2K net directional flow in 1h.

+$36.2K

−$2.1K

tracked

$160.3K

13 verified profitable wallets: Drew Dober · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 34 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Drew Dober or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 04:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Drew Dober" if Drew Dober is officially declared the winner of the fight against Chris Duncan at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Chris Duncan" if Chris Duncan is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Drew Dober" if Drew Dober is officially declared the winner of the fight against Chris Duncan at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Chris Duncan" if Chris Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $10.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chris Duncan@ 63.0¢23h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Latest book event: Drew Dober UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $5 → $74 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Drew Dober; negative values favor Chris Duncan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hDrew Dober · $36.2K

6hChris Duncan · $2.1K

24hChris Duncan · $20.1K

Drew Dober price VWAP

Volume-weighted Drew Dober price. Chris Duncan fills are converted to the complementary Drew Dober probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current1.0¢

VWAP 24h17.5¢▼ below by 16.5pp

VWAP 7d18.16¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Drew Dober price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢