PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 1 monthLiquidity: $572.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $208.5KEvent: Worlds 2026: Winner

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

43.5¢
YES
56.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:39 trades$80.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $2.4K net·10 wallets·$3.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$22.3K@ 45¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$1
6h
+$32.5K
tracked
$80.3K

10 verified profitable wallets: NO · $2.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-29 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://lolesports.com
Outcome meaning

•If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
randomrandomrandom2 linked markets · $30.6K gross
predictgeek2 linked markets · $2.8K gross
e46m34 linked markets · $2.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 44.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 44.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 44.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $1
6hYES · $32.5K
24hYES · $52.6K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h43.66¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d40.63¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$86.2K
35¢
$7.7K
30¢
$34.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYES$22.3K@ 44.97¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYYES$12.0K@ 44.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYYES$10.2K@ 34.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—4 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?
0.05¢$51.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LOS win Worlds 2026?
0.15¢$42.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
12.95¢$32.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?
0.15¢$30.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?
0.05¢$16.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova
47.5¢$587.8Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys
—$488.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti
—$477.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Yes$69.5K
BUY VWAP 43.90¢·10 fills
esportGGYes$10.2K
BUY VWAP 34.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.