Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Denis Shapovalov pressure: $9.4K net directional flow in 1h.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 68% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Denis Shapovalov or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Karen Khachanov" if Karen Khachanov wins by 2 or more sets than Denis Shapovalov, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov."
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karen Khachanov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov."
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Denis Shapovalov in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karen Khachanov" if Karen Khachanov wins by 2 or more sets than Denis Shapovalov, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karen Khachanov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Karen Khachanov price VWAP
Largest holders
Karen Khachanov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.