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Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers

● quote 384 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $56.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $212.2KEvent: Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers

Indicative prices · 384 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

7.0¢
Melbourne Stars
99.9¢
Perth Scorchers
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets47Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution22Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:55 trades$55.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 504 min agoofficial metadata 386 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Perth Scorchers · $8.0K net·4 wallets·$16.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMelbourne Stars$10.0K@ 77¢·0x01af…7bc2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$55.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: Perth Scorchers · $8.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 384 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 504 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 386 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 08:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.bigbash.com.au/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Big Bash League, Women cricket match between Melbourne Stars and Perth Scorchers, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 3:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve 50-50. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Melbourne Stars DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $187 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Melbourne Stars; negative values favor Perth Scorchers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMelbourne Stars · $0
6hMelbourne Stars · $0
24hPerth Scorchers · $1.7K

Melbourne Stars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Melbourne Stars price. Perth Scorchers fills are converted to the complementary Melbourne Stars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current7.0¢
VWAP 24h46.23¢▼ below by 39.2pp
VWAP 7d46.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Melbourne Stars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$3
80¢
$3.2K
75¢
$13.9K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$2.2K
60¢
$5.4K
55¢
$35
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
$2.5K
40¢
$4.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$1.5K
0¢
$13.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMelbourne Stars$10.0K@ 77.0¢0x01af…7bc2🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NonTificantPerth Scorchers$12.4K
BUY VWAP 89.14¢·3 fills
0x01af…7bc2Melbourne Stars$10.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.