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LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsSettlement: LOSLiquidity: $301.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
100.0¢
LOS payout
0.0¢
LYON payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:458 trades$741.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1012 min agoofficial metadata 979 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LYON · $61.5K net·41 wallets(2🐋)·$129.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLOS$58.4K@ 100¢·verifly

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome LOS. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 00:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 1 against LYON.

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against LOS.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between LOS and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 1 against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against LOS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 20h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $410.1K gross
Username21333 linked markets · $172.7K gross
5e46h3 linked markets · $146.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: LOS DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $76 → $178 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOS; negative values favor LYON. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLYON · $11.3K
6hLYON · $255.0K
24hLYON · $254.9K

LOS price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOS price. LYON fills are converted to the complementary LOS probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.46¢▲ above by 32.5pp
VWAP 7d67.46¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOS price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$282.1K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$7.6K
80¢
$0
75¢
$9.8K
70¢
$37.8K
65¢
$42.9K
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$10.9K
50¢
$42.6K
45¢
$63.3K
40¢
$59.7K
35¢
$49.6K
30¢
$130.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLOS$16.2K@ 99.9¢
JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0
🐋—about 18 hours ago
SELLLOS$12.0K@ 99.9¢
luckycat8888880x0b5e…9367
🐋—about 19 hours ago
SELLLOS$12.1K@ 99.9¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—about 19 hours ago
SELLLOS$27.7K@ 99.9¢
Username21330x0947…c1c9
🐋—about 19 hours ago
SELLLOS$27.8K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 19 hours ago
SELLLOS$58.4K@ 99.9¢
verifly0x5286…0d47
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYLOS$17.9K@ 97.96¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 19 hours ago
SELLLOS$10.2K@ 66.17¢0xbdcb…36c9🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYLYON$11.3K@ 58.0¢
sdfqq10xce7d…898e
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYLYON$15.8K@ 68.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYLYON$20.1K@ 67.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYLYON$20.1K@ 67.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYLOS$11.8K@ 36.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANLYON$40.2K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·2 fills
5e46hLOS$27.3K
BUY VWAP 98.32¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileLYON$19.5K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·2 fills
veriflyLOS$17.7K
BUY VWAP 33.44¢·3 fills
0xf201…527eLYON$16.2K
BUY VWAP 67.21¢·3 fills
Username2133LOS$16.0K
BUY VWAP 63.37¢·7 fills
skadiiLYON$15.4K
BUY VWAP 66.29¢·3 fills
yong32LOS$13.7K
BUY VWAP 63.36¢·6 fills
stop123444444LYON$13.0K
BUY VWAP 62.23¢·2 fills
sdfqq1LYON$12.8K
BUY VWAP 57.63¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.