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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $862.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Indicative prices · 11s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Team Yandex
99.95¢
Team Spirit
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 35 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:434 trades$569.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $32.1K net·35 wallets(1🐋)·$104.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Spirit$24.1K@ 50¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Spirit pressure: $31.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$31.1K
6h
−$88.3K
tracked
$569.7K

35 verified profitable wallets: Team Spirit · $32.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +28.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 28.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Spirit or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Team Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Team Yandex.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
GameGambleStakes2 linked markets · $55.7K gross
madar782 linked markets · $47.3K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $38.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit44m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Spirit@ 72.0¢50m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Team Yandex DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $24 → $20 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Yandex; negative values favor Team Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $31.1K
6hTeam Spirit · $88.3K
24hTeam Spirit · $88.3K

Team Yandex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Yandex price. Team Spirit fills are converted to the complementary Team Yandex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h35.75¢▼ below by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d35.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Yandex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.6K
70¢
$28.2K
65¢
$23.5K
60¢
$29.2K
55¢
$42.2K
50¢
$120.9K
45¢
$56.5K
40¢
$8.4K
35¢
$13.5K
30¢
$11.2K
25¢
$25.9K
20¢
$17.7K
15¢
$8.3K
10¢
$18.3K
5¢
$24.7K
0¢
← now
$137.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit$13.9K@ 99.9¢
GameGambleStakes0xb26f…9536
🐋—10 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit$13.0K@ 99.0¢
madar780x8a36…4836
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$24.1K@ 50.21¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs
20.0¢$379.3Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
23.5¢$48.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
56.0¢$16.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
55.0¢$2.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)
0.05¢$2.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)
42.5¢$1.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
30.0¢$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
56.5¢$19priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

GeorgeReTeam Spirit$24.6K
BUY VWAP 45.65¢·6 fills
madar78Team Spirit$24.3K
BUY VWAP 63.20¢·18 fills
0xf3ce…a57aTeam Spirit$24.1K
BUY VWAP 50.21¢·1 fill
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$24.0K
BUY VWAP 50.14¢·6 fills
GooGooGaga1Team Spirit$18.8K
BUY VWAP 97.76¢·5 fills
errormargin3Team Spirit$16.8K
BUY VWAP 71.82¢·4 fills
ExcentricoTeam Spirit$15.6K
BUY VWAP 77.92¢·7 fills
tyutgbhnmTeam Yandex$11.6K
BUY VWAP 60.21¢·2 fills
relativesignificanceTeam Spirit$10.8K
BUY VWAP 47.91¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.