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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Dota 2Settlement: Team SpiritLiquidity: $326.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $718.3KEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Spirit payout
0.0¢
Team Liquid payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $17.4K net·15 wallets·$40.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Spirit$13.3K@ 100¢·0xe16d…5e30

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Spirit. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-30 23:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e304 linked markets · $96.3K gross
GameGambleStakes3 linked markets · $51.6K gross
Hdisllbsj3 linked markets · $37.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit5d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Spirit@ 75.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $28.7K
6hTeam Spirit · $77.4K
24hTeam Spirit · $77.4K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.06¢▲ above by 16.9pp
VWAP 7d83.06¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$93.8K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$27.5K
80¢
$13.1K
75¢
$10.3K
70¢
$64.3K
65¢
$54.4K
60¢
$4.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit$13.3K@ 99.9¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—5 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 68.52¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—5 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 67.74¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$38.0K
BUY VWAP 67.88¢·9 fills
yanedaniilTeam Spirit$15.4K
BUY VWAP 80.73¢·5 fills
errormargin3Team Spirit$11.0K
BUY VWAP 73.56¢·3 fills
GeorgeReTeam Spirit$10.6K
BUY VWAP 74.74¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.