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Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $16.8KEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Team Liquid
0.05¢
OG
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection56Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$7.8K trackedsource coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:OG · $20 net·2 wallets·$20 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Liquid$4.4K@ 100¢·8D1cDXikbIYM5T

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

OG pressure: $4.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.4K
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$7.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: OG · $20 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 58 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from OG or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 19:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 2 or more games than OG in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "OG".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Team Liquid and OG in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 2 or more games than OG in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "OG". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
madar782 linked markets · $72.8K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $44.0K gross
notailnotail2 linked markets · $37.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor OG. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOG · $4.4K
6hOG · $1.2K
24hOG · $1.2K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. OG fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h77.02¢▲ above by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d77.02¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.5K
90¢
$46
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.2K
40¢
$6
35¢
$65
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.