Games Total: O/U 2.5

Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.6KEvent: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Polymarket indicative prices · 5 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Over
0.05¢
Under
—
Spread
anomaly100direction95wallets0execution0priority0data 59%
24h sample:9 trades$1.3K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLOver$1.3K@ 100¢·0x639c…1323

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Under pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.3K
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$1.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 52 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 15:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if PARIVISION and Team Liquid play 3 or more games in this series.

•If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Team Liquid in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if PARIVISION and Team Liquid play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
yanedaniil3 linked markets · $45.8K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $44.0K gross
0xf3ce…a57a3 linked markets · $39.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hUnder · $1.3K
6hUnder · $1.2K
24hUnder · $1.2K

Over price VWAP

Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h97.52¢▲ above by 2.4pp
VWAP 7d97.52¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$5
55¢
$5
50¢
$27
45¢
$4
40¢
$21
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.