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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $261.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $387.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

55.5¢
TheMongolz
44.5¢
Nemiga
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:58 trades$181.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nemiga · $7.6K net·2 wallets·$8.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTheMongolz$61.6K@ 56¢·yabanci

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW TheMongolz SETUP
What the tape says

TheMongolz pressure: $29.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$29.4K
6h
+$94.0K
tracked
$181.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nemiga · $7.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from TheMongolz or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Nemiga.

•This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against TheMongolz.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Nemiga in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Nemiga. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c03 linked markets · $28.3K gross
0xdbd8…9a782 linked markets · $7 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY TheMongolz@ 56.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Nemiga@ 43.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TheMongolz; negative values favor Nemiga. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTheMongolz · $29.4K
6hTheMongolz · $94.0K
24hTheMongolz · $69.9K

TheMongolz price VWAP

Volume-weighted TheMongolz price. Nemiga fills are converted to the complementary TheMongolz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h56.4¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d56.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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TheMongolz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$181.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTheMongolz$26.7K@ 56.0¢
HBAFlover980xac47…d234
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTheMongolz$61.6K@ 56.0¢
yabanci0x285f…495f
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
31.5¢$16.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
51.5¢$7.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

yabanciTheMongolz$61.6K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
HBAFlover98TheMongolz$26.7K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0xc9bf…81c0Nemiga$21.8K
BUY VWAP 42.50¢·6 fills
purplegattoNemiga$12.1K
BUY VWAP 43.02¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.