PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Politics→ElectionsCloses: 5 monthsLiquidity: $61.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $76.9KEvent: Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Indicative prices · 3419 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $50.9K net·26 wallets(2🐋)·$152.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$30.3K@ 46¢·Do-Not-Redeem

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-06-03 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Read full resolution rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 40d ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 108d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
anoin1232 linked markets · $41.0K gross
0x122c…fbed2 linked markets · $36.1K gross
macrosteaks2 linked markets · $30.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

EVENT SHIFTBUY YES@ 95.75¢4d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 57.6¢43d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h STALLED +0.7pp
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 57.5¢43d ago
15m STALLED -0.6pp1h STALLED -0.3pp6h STALLED -0.4pp24h STALLED +1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$178.9K
90¢
$97.7K
85¢
$77.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.3K
55¢
$58.6K
50¢
$166.5K
45¢
$61.8K
40¢
$103.3K
35¢
$15.0K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$90
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYES$14.5K@ 99.9¢
arjenw0x24de…83cb
🐋—2 days ago
SELLYES$11.0K@ 99.9¢
cmarx0x1733…9411
🐋—2 days ago
SELLYES$10.7K@ 98.2¢
HuntersMethDealer0x3989…27b1
🐋—4 days ago
BUYYES$13.9K@ 95.76¢
arjenw0x24de…83cb
🐋—4 days ago
SELLYES$15.0K@ 89.71¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋—4 days ago
SELLYES$21.2K@ 88.43¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋—4 days ago
BUYYES$22.5K@ 95.09¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋—4 days ago
SELLNO$12.1K@ 59.14¢
MemeKing200x56d0…81d6
🐋—9 days ago
SELLYES$10.8K@ 55.16¢
eightpenguins0x3c59…1766
🐋—11 days ago
SELLNO$18.7K@ 45.24¢
defillama70x4c8c…e36f
🐋—13 days ago
BUYYES$18.4K@ 51.64¢
Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1
🐋—17 days ago
BUYYES$20.8K@ 51.2¢
Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1
🐋—17 days ago
BUYYES$30.3K@ 46.1¢
Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1
🐋—17 days ago
BUYYES$11.2K@ 44.78¢
bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869
🐋—17 days ago
BUYYES$12.8K@ 58.4¢
ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35
🐋—30 days ago
BUYYES$16.3K@ 60.29¢
ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLYES$10.5K@ 60.87¢
seal70x2b9d…adc0
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$32.0K@ 60.4¢
ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$11.6K@ 58.1¢
ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$16.4K@ 57.91¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$17.8K@ 57.44¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$11.5K@ 57.45¢0x8b4b…541b🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$19.1K@ 57.12¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYYES$10.2K@ 59.0¢
flawfence0x23d8…0288
🐋—about 2 months ago
SELLNO$36.2K@ 41.06¢
flawfence0x23d8…0288
🐋—about 2 months ago
BUYYES$12.4K@ 37.61¢
LeRoiSoleil0x6ac0…55f3
🐋—about 2 months ago
BUYYES$10.0K@ 36.69¢
0x44vanz0x44a0…c3b9
🐋—3 months ago
BUYYES$14.4K@ 35.89¢
SnowLover70xc8b9…b836
🐋—3 months ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.05¢$667.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.65¢$480.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.25¢$290.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.05¢$221.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2.15¢$212.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.05¢$192.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13.3¢$190.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10.75¢$172.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

anoin123Yes$32.8K
BUY VWAP 94.41¢·6 fills
quavooYes$16.9K
BUY VWAP 78.79¢·15 fills
arjenwYes$13.9K
BUY VWAP 95.76¢·1 fill
macrosteaksYes$13.7K
BUY VWAP 83.67¢·7 fills
0x122c…fbedYes$11.9K
BUY VWAP 95.34¢·16 fills
Legacy.cryptoYes$10.1K
BUY VWAP 99.89¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.