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Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima

● quote 77 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $639.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $411.0KEvent: Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima

Indicative prices · 77 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Tallon Griekspoor
1.0¢
Brandon Nakashima
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:167 trades$138.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 83 min agoofficial metadata 79 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tallon Griekspoor · $3.1K net·10 wallets·$18.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTallon Griekspoor$10.0K@ 83¢·redvinny

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$17.6K
tracked
$138.0K

10 verified profitable wallets: Tallon Griekspoor · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 77 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 83 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 79 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Brandon Nakashima in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Brandon Nakashima DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $21 → $434 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tallon Griekspoor; negative values favor Brandon Nakashima. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTallon Griekspoor · $0
6hTallon Griekspoor · $17.6K
24hTallon Griekspoor · $18.0K

Tallon Griekspoor price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tallon Griekspoor price. Brandon Nakashima fills are converted to the complementary Tallon Griekspoor probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h73.25¢▲ above by 26.6pp
VWAP 7d72.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tallon Griekspoor price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.2K
90¢
$3.6K
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$26.6K
75¢
$19.5K
70¢
$7.4K
65¢
$348
60¢
$8.0K
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
$11.9K
45¢
$13.4K
40¢
$1.7K
35¢
$9.6K
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTallon Griekspoor$10.0K@ 83.0¢
redvinny0x56c9…0d9e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesTallon Griekspoor$15.1K
BUY VWAP 62.58¢·16 fills
redvinnyTallon Griekspoor$15.0K
BUY VWAP 80.73¢·7 fills
Paul973973Tallon Griekspoor$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.