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Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee

Sports→TennisSettlement: Katerina SiniakovaLiquidity: $219.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $457.0KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee
100.0¢
Katerina Siniakova payout
0.0¢
Lanlana Tararudee payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:180 trades$150.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katerina Siniakova · $17.2K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$74.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaterina Siniakova$12.7K@ 95¢·dbbbt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Katerina Siniakova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Lanlana Tararudee. This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Katerina Siniakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 8m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 8m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lanlana Tararudee DOWN 5.6pp · near-book depth $173 → $390 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katerina Siniakova; negative values favor Lanlana Tararudee. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaterina Siniakova · $9.3K
6hKaterina Siniakova · $24.4K
24hKaterina Siniakova · $22.4K

Katerina Siniakova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katerina Siniakova price. Lanlana Tararudee fills are converted to the complementary Katerina Siniakova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.95¢▲ above by 24.1pp
VWAP 7d75.82¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katerina Siniakova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$61.8K
90¢
$10.1K
85¢
$527
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$23.0K
60¢
$10.0K
55¢
$17.0K
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$7.5K
40¢
$55
35¢
$8.6K
30¢
$6.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKaterina Siniakova$12.7K@ 95.0¢
dbbbt0x554d…eb95
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKaterina Siniakova$11.5K@ 58.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Katerina Siniakova$13.1K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·4 fills
dbbbtKaterina Siniakova$12.7K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·1 fill
dmoralezKaterina Siniakova$10.9K
BUY VWAP 97.29¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.