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Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin

● quote 83 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $722.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $243.3KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin

Indicative prices · 83 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Kaitlin Quevedo
6.0¢
Sofia Kenin
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets90Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:142 trades$94.6K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 82 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kaitlin Quevedo · $6.8K net·10 wallets·$7.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaitlin Quevedo$9.4K@ 77¢·0xb38a…3293

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$20.8K
tracked
$94.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Kaitlin Quevedo · $6.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 83 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 87 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 82 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Sofia Kenin in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kaitlin Quevedo UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $63.7K → $3.5K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kaitlin Quevedo; negative values favor Sofia Kenin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaitlin Quevedo · $0
6hKaitlin Quevedo · $20.8K
24hKaitlin Quevedo · $20.8K

Kaitlin Quevedo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kaitlin Quevedo price. Sofia Kenin fills are converted to the complementary Kaitlin Quevedo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h73.24¢▲ above by 26.7pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kaitlin Quevedo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.8K
90¢
$5.1K
85¢
$221
80¢
$10.3K
75¢
$14.9K
70¢
$392
65¢
$5.2K
60¢
$16.2K
55¢
$5.1K
50¢
$7.7K
45¢
$2
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$2.8K
30¢
$4.8K
25¢
$130
20¢
$45
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesKaitlin Quevedo$16.7K
BUY VWAP 58.18¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.