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Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $72.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $260.2KEvent: Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

35.5¢
OG
64.5¢
GamerLegion
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 95%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:213 trades$218.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 81%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:OG · $16.8K net·20 wallets(1🐋)·$35.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOG$15.2K@ 56¢·Sunshine.Smile

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

OG pressure: $64.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$64.4K
6h
+$42.5K
tracked
$218.8K

20 verified profitable wallets: OG · $16.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 95% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: +22.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 22.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from OG or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against GamerLegion.

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against OG.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between OG and GamerLegion in the PARI Universe Group A, initially scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against OG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 9h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
relativesignificance2 linked markets · $50.9K gross
Sunshine.Smile3 linked markets · $40.8K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $36.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY GamerLegion3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY GamerLegion@ 43.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: OG DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.7K → $3.7K · 40s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor OG; negative values favor GamerLegion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOG · $64.4K
6hOG · $42.5K
24hOG · $44.4K

OG price VWAP

Volume-weighted OG price. GamerLegion fills are converted to the complementary OG probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h54.21¢▼ below by 18.7pp
VWAP 7d54.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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OG price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$10.3K
70¢
$400
65¢
$51
60¢
$178
55¢
$87.9K
50¢
$86.7K
45¢
$12.8K
40¢
$6.1K
35¢
← now
$12.7K
30¢
$1.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOG$11.2K@ 55.98¢
GeorgeRe0x87da…53d1
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYOG$15.2K@ 56.26¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYGamerLegion$10.8K@ 45.75¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYGamerLegion$10.8K@ 43.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CORGI8GamerLegion$25.9K
BUY VWAP 43.92¢·3 fills
relativesignificanceOG$16.8K
BUY VWAP 52.47¢·6 fills
Sunshine.SmileOG$15.2K
BUY VWAP 56.26¢·1 fill
GeorgeReOG$12.7K
BUY VWAP 55.44¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.