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Spread: Pacers (-6.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: PacersLiquidity: $474.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.8MEvent: Pacers vs. Nets
100.0¢
Pacers payout
0.0¢
Nets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nets · $55.4K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$60.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNets$357.7K@ 53¢·googleplay

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pacers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pacers" if the Pacers win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pacers" if the Pacers win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
googleplay2 linked markets · $756.2K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $100.3K gross
Lakersfan1114 linked markets · $87.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Nets@ 53.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Nets@ 52.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Nets@ 50.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pacers; negative values favor Nets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNets · $639
6hNets · $742.2K
24hNets · $753.4K

Pacers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pacers price. Nets fills are converted to the complementary Pacers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.87¢▲ above by 52.1pp
VWAP 7d47.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pacers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$975
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$60.0K
45¢
$812.7K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$82
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNets$40.4K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—3 days ago
BUYNets$12.0K@ 51.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPacers$22.6K@ 49.0¢
Siddhartha10xc95e…1288
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNets$357.7K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNets$350.6K@ 52.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPacers$13.4K@ 50.0¢
Zillahstone0xdbad…81aa
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNets$19.8K@ 50.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayNets$708.3K
BUY VWAP 52.50¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Nets$40.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
Lakersfan111Nets$29.2K
BUY VWAP 49.67¢·2 fills
Siddhartha1Pacers$22.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
ZillahstonePacers$13.4K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
titocominoPacers$12.0K
BUY VWAP 48.66¢·2 fills
KaneAnalyticsNets$12.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardNets$10.5K
BUY VWAP 50.48¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.