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Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: SpursLiquidity: $333.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $373.2KEvent: Spurs vs. Mavericks
100.0¢
Spurs payout
0.0¢
Mavericks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpurs$39.6K@ 51¢·Talvez10

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Spurs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 13 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Spurs@ 55.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h STALLED +3.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Spurs@ 53.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +5.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spurs; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpurs · $233
6hMavericks · $20.1K
24hSpurs · $52.0K

Spurs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spurs price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Spurs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.18¢▲ above by 46.8pp
VWAP 7d53.18¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spurs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$276
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$34.3K
50¢
$124.5K
45¢
$1.0K
40¢
$24
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMavericks$16.1K@ 42.0¢
lucio880x3a55…394e
🐋—9 days ago
BUYSpurs$31.0K@ 54.35¢
ArielFilipino0xe18e…f826
🐋—9 days ago
BUYSpurs$13.0K@ 52.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—9 days ago
BUYSpurs$39.6K@ 50.85¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.