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Spread: Bulls (-1.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: WizardsLiquidity: $430.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $694.5KEvent: Wizards vs. Bulls
0.0¢
Bulls payout
100.0¢
Wizards payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Wizards · $15.7K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$42.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBulls$101.2K@ 51¢·googleplay

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Wizards. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bulls" if the Bulls win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bulls" if the Bulls win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
googleplay2 linked markets · $944.0K gross
maz262 linked markets · $97.6K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $52.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Bulls@ 51.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL Bulls@ 51.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Bulls@ 51.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Wizards@ 51.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bulls; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBulls · $0
6hWizards · $24.2K
24hWizards · $22.0K

Bulls price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bulls price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Bulls probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.21¢▼ below by 50.2pp
VWAP 7d50.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bulls price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3
55¢
$0
50¢
$266.8K
45¢
$60.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.0K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWizards$15.3K@ 49.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—4 days ago
SELLBulls$101.2K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBulls$100.7K@ 50.76¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—4 days ago
BUYWizards$32.6K@ 51.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBulls$11.9K@ 50.0¢
Zillahstone0xdbad…81aa
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayBulls$100.7K
BUY VWAP 50.76¢·1 fill
Lakersfan111Wizards$32.6K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Wizards$15.3K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
ZillahstoneBulls$11.9K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.