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Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $146.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $408.7KEvent: Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana
99.9¢
Carlos Maria Zarate
0.1¢
Francisco Comesana
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:128 trades$137.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Comesana · $12.0K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$30.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLCarlos Maria Zarate$59.7K@ 100¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$4
6h
−$73.3K
tracked
$137.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Francisco Comesana · $12.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Francisco Comesana in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Francisco Comesana DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $273 → $14 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Carlos Maria Zarate; negative values favor Francisco Comesana. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisco Comesana · $4
6hFrancisco Comesana · $73.3K
24hFrancisco Comesana · $73.3K

Carlos Maria Zarate price VWAP

Volume-weighted Carlos Maria Zarate price. Francisco Comesana fills are converted to the complementary Carlos Maria Zarate probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h76.1¢▲ above by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d76.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Carlos Maria Zarate price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$80.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$9.5K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$2.6K
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$8.1K
40¢
$4.2K
35¢
$8.1K
30¢
$158
25¢
$5.5K
20¢
$10.2K
15¢
$1
10¢
$0
5¢
$3
0¢
$2.7K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLCarlos Maria Zarate$59.7K@ 99.9¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLCarlos Maria Zarate$11.5K@ 99.9¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesFrancisco Comesana$11.8K
BUY VWAP 75.2¢·17 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.