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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Natus Vincere
—
Team Falcons
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$4.2K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Falcons · $2.4K net·2 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$1.4K@ 50¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Falcons pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.6K
6h
−$1.6K
tracked
$4.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Team Falcons · $2.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Official market metadata is 50 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Natus Vincere.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 51m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl2 linked markets · $293.8K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $70.7K gross
0xc9bf…81c02 linked markets · $52.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $1.6K
6hTeam Falcons · $1.6K
24hTeam Falcons · $1.6K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h50.39¢
VWAP 7d50.39¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.2K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.